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More facts that won't really matter (cooling boreal winters)

That the boreal winters have been cooling is pretty much a known fact among researchers.  The reason for this is currently anything but sett...

Monday, December 15, 2014

Why there has been a pause in global warming

The "pause" is due to boreal winters cooling, which is evident in the following NH land only data from WFTs, using the crutem3 data. Here is the annual data, by year.
Here is each month. 

 It's almost impossible to see the woods for the trees, so here's the monthly data, clearly showing how only the boreal winter is cooling.

April

May
June

July


August


All the NH warm months show warming.

But December does not.

And January shows cooling

February shows cooling

It is the extreme cooling of the NH winters that has caused the pause. You now know more than most people at this point in time.  





Sunday, December 14, 2014

How can you know the US is not experiencing global warming? Let me show you.

Go to the CAG page and select the trend.  See for yourself.

Using 1988 shows a cooling trend.  Using 1995 really shows it.  And using 2002 will freak most people out.

1995-2014 Minimum temperature trend -14.75 F a century



1995-2014 maximum temperature trend - 9.54 F a century


If you are freaking out, just select 1970 and you will feel warmer.

This is the cherry picking way to assure everybody things are warming up.  It's complete nonsense, but if it makes you feel warmer, then who am I to hammer punch you with some facts?

The astute observer who understands global warming will note that the min trend far exceeds the max, which is completely against the global warming theory;  This might be explained here.



More facts that won't really matter (cooling boreal winters)

That the boreal winters have been cooling is pretty much a known fact among researchers.  The reason for this is currently anything but settled science.  These papers show why it's a fact.

Observed and simulated temperature extremes during the recent warming hiatus
Complete paper here (full paper pdf)

Trends in hemispheric warm and cold anomalies (full paper pdf)

Recent Arctic amplification and extreme mid-latitude weather (full paper pdf)

Arctic warming, increasing snow cover and widespread boreal winter cooling (full paper pdf)

Decadal Fluctuations in Planetary Wave Forcing Modulate Global Warming in Late Boreal Winter
Full paper PDF

This paper may explain why it's happening.
Shortwave and longwave radiative contributions to global warming under increasing CO2 (full paper pdf)

The short version is this. CO2 trapping of infrared radiation is not the ultimate cause of global warming. (this is in the paper)

It's the feedbacks from the initial warming (from CO2) that models show will cause the expected warming. These feedbacks result in short wave (visible light) causing the expected warming, as there is less snow, ice and sea ice reflecting it back into space.

If this study is correct, then it could explain why the boreal winters have been cooling.  Because instead of less snow and ice, there has been more, leading to that drastic January and February cooling trend.

Thursday, December 11, 2014

Somebody in France read a post here!

This is a fact, because Google says it happened.  Twice.

Now either two people in France looked at this blog, or the same person did twice.

Or, and  this is why facts are so flexible, a search engine hit the blog.  Or a spam robot. The actual fact is Google says two hits came from France.  That is the only actual fact, and even that could be an error by Google.

So I don't actually know if somebody in France read anything here.

It's an example of why facts are things to be skeptical of.

Of course Google also tells me that the following happened as well.

Germany, Norway and Ukraine all show one hit on this blog.  At some point you have to believe something about data.